Abstract: This project examines the broader effects of the US financial crisis on global lending to retail customers. In particular we examine retail bank lending in Germany taking advantage of a unique data set of German savings banks over the period 2006–2008 for which we have the universe of loan applications and loans granted in this time period. Our experimental setting allows us to distinguish between those savings banks affected by the US financial crisis, through their holdings in Landesbanken with substantial subprime exposure, and unaffected savings banks. We are further able to distinguish between demand and supply side effects of bank lending. We find demand for loans goes down but is not substantially different for the affected and non-affected banks. We find evidence of a supply side effect in that the affected banks reject substantially more loan applications than non-affected banks. This effect is particularly strong for smaller and more liquidity-constrained banks as well as for mortgages as compared to consumer loans. We also find that bank-depositor relationships help mitigate these supply side effects. Publication Manju Puri, Jörg Rocholl, Sascha Steffen (2011) Global retail lending in the aftermath of the US financial crisis: Distinguishing between supply and demand effects Journal of Financial Economics, 100(3): 556–578 |